Independent Fight Analysis

Probability-Based Reports for UFC, Boxing

This website provides independent analytical reports for selected combat sports events.
All analysis is delivered in PDF format and focuses on probabilities (%), fight structure, and risk scenarios — not predictions or guarantees.

What do the probabilities (%) mean?

Percentages represent the estimated likelihood of an outcome at the time of analysis.
They are not promises and not betting advice.

  • 60–70% — clear structural edge, but risk remains

  • 55–59% — moderate edge with high volatility

  • 50–54% — near-even matchup

  • Below 50% — underdog with realistic winning paths

Each probability includes an uncertainty zone — factors that can change the outcome.

How the analysis works

Each fight is evaluated based on structure, not hype.

We assess:

  • style matchups (striking, grappling, clinch)

  • pressure vs control dynamics

  • pace and cardio sustainability

  • damage accumulation and durability

  • grappling control and transitions

  • finishing possibilities

  • judging and decision volatility

Base Scenario & Risk Scenario

Every fight analysis is built on two layers:

Base Scenario
The most likely way the fight unfolds if structure holds.

Risk Scenario
Conditions that can break the base scenario and flip the outcome.

Final probabilities are assigned after weighing both layers and identifying instability points.

What you receive (PDF Report)

Each analytical report is delivered as a downloadable PDF and includes:

  • win probability percentages (%)

  • base scenario explanation

  • risk scenario explanation

  • key fight factors

  • uncertainty zone

  • concise final summary

All reports are one-time purchases.
No subscriptions. No automatic renewals.

Post-Event Analysis

After selected events, we publish post-event analytical reviews to explain:

  • whether the base scenario held

  • which risk factors materialized

  • where assumptions failed

This is done for transparency and analytical integrity.

Access current reports

Pre-event analytical reports in PDF format are available in Shop.
All products are delivered digitally after purchase.

Important Notice

This website provides independent sports analysis for informational purposes only.
No betting advice. No guaranteed outcomes. No gambling services.